Good Afternoon and I hope your work week is off to a great start.
It was a chilly morning as we started off in the 40s to low 50s. Temps today will climb up to around 70° with clear skies. There will be a light breeze out there as high pressure over the Eastern Great Lakes Region ridges down the east slope of the Blue Ridge. Aloft some moisture will stream in and areas immediately east of the mountains could see a layer of cirrus clouds develop later. That would set up a perfect fiery sunset for the photographers out there. For the near term the weather is going to remain calm and tranquil with high pressure firmly in place centering over our area by Friday. Temps will start to clime a degree or two each day and will return to normal values for this time of year on Tuesday. By late week temps will rise to a degree or two above normal.
It has been over 17 days now since a widespread rainfall affected our area. We will add atleast another 4-5 days to that number with the aforementioned high pressure placement. That seems likely to change starting Saturday however. The ridge of high pressure starts to break down Saturday. The our eyes will watch what takes place in The Gulf of Mexico. Models continue to indicate some type of low pressure in the Northern Gulf and then that moisture races North in Sunday. Confidence continue he’s to grow that the pattern will become unsettled during the last weekend and into next week. There is a widespread range of error as to the amount of moisture that moves into the area and the timing of its arrival. Today we take from this that the dry pattern in place now likely will not last but instead change into a damper more unsettled pattern going into next week.