Chilly Nights And Warm Days For Now....Long Range Pattern Is Becoming More Interesting.

Good Tuesday to you and yours and I hope you are doing well. It’s going to be another gorgeous day across our area. Wall to wall sunshine and temps bouncing back from the cold start in the 30’s, up into the low 60’s. 

Mad of 9am a cold front is draped across the Midwest and low pressure is located over Oklahoma. Low pressure will move tonthe NE today toward the Upper Midwest by Wednesday, and then to the Great Lakes Region by Thursday. As the low moves NE the front will slowing move East, finally crossing into our area on Thursday. A few showers and a thunderstorm or two is not out of the question. This front will knock temps back down to seasonable normals.  Rainfall late Thursday into the overnight hours should measure from .10 to .25 of an inch ascross our area. As the precipitation crosses the mountains we expect it to wane. Brief dry high pressure should build in for Friday.

By Saturday another front approaches our area. There remains a lot of uncertainty as to the profession of this front. The GFS is stalling this frontal system out over the Piedmont while the Euro is slower on its arrival and has it progressing. If the GFS scenario comes to fruition then that would mean a wedge type scenario for Saturday. It is something we will have to watch close. It does look like all liquid precip at this time of it does develop. From there high pressure moves in Sunday as that front moves out of the area returning temps to normal for this time of year with clear skies.  

There are big changes in the long range and cold weather lovers will rejoice. The NAO should turn sharply negative while the PNA develops a tall ridge over the Western US. That would spell very cold air getting into our area and should translate to a storm in the SE United States. Daniel will have more on this pattern tomorrow. It looks interesting starting next week.  

 

Chris White

Chief Meteorologist

 

 

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