Good morning. This forecast continues to evolve and we have made a slight uptick in forecast totals. These are as high as we are willing to go with this storm because there will be rain mixed in below 1500ft. However, overnight models have prompted a Winter Storm Warning for the Mountains of McDowell and Rutherford Counties. All others are under an advisory. Warning criteria in our area is 4 inches of snowfall. While there are some signs we exceed that number there are also signs the boundary layer of warmer air may be stubborn to break down. This process is going to have to be done through dynamic cooling. Cold air aloft will be brought down to the surface thus cooling the column of air. Right now wet bulb temps are above freezing area wide. Wet bulb temp is a temperature where the air temp and dewpoint will meet and create 100% humidity. The temperatures can never fall below the dewpoint. As we go through the day our eyes will be on the wet bulb temps and this is now becoming a nowcasting event instead of a forecasting event. Light precipitation is already developing. The mountains have a coating to 2 inchs of snow already from Asheville and SW from there.
Here are the 6:00am graphics
Your next update will be 11:00am.