Tropics Remain Hot; Tropical Storm Lee Is Born And Maria Likely To Be Named Soon.

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM LEE...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...12.5N 33.1W
ABOUT 655 MI...1055 KM WSW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES

Tropical Storm Lee will need to be watched and Maria will likely be named in the next 24 hours and it is to the ESE of Tropical Storm Lee.  Maria is forecast to become a major hurricane and could affect the Lesser Antilles again.  We will keep you posted and there is no immediate threat to land US Land.  I expect there will be scary graphics popping up in the upcoming days with forecast models.  Remember one model run means much less than a forecast.  It does look like it is going to be a very busy couple of weeks again.

 

1. (POTENTIAL MARIA) Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
about 700 miles east of the Windward Islands continue to show signs of organization, but it is unclear if the system has a well-defined center of circulation.Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm
could form at any time today or on Sunday while the system moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.Hurricane or tropical storm watches could be issued for portions of the Lesser Antilles later today, and interests on those islands should closely monitor the
progress of this system. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Tropical Storm Lee initial forecast track

Tropical Storm Lee initial forecast track

Atlantic Basin full of tropical systems http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Atlantic Basin full of tropical systems

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/