Winter weather potential next week lowering...

Good Saturday evening to everyone, this Winter Weather Update is sponsored by CBS Sports in Morganton…your  #1 stop for ski and snowboard rentals. For over 30 years folks have trusted CBS Sports in Morganton to get them ready to hit the slopes. Why wait in line at the area ski slopes when you can rent at CBS Sports. Go visit them at 911 N Green Street or give them a call at 828-437-7016 so you can prepare to hit the slopes!

 

 

Cold air has invaded the region today and we are on the lookout for the next front to deliver arctic air. An upper trough will dive almost due south from Canada the early part of next week and will help re-enforce a deep trough across the Eastern US by midweek.


 GFS 500 mb vorticity (Monday AM)

GFS 500 mb vorticity (Monday AM)

 GFS 500 mb Vorticity (Wednesday AM)

GFS 500 mb Vorticity (Wednesday AM)

 

Along this arctic front moisture may try to gather and interact with the cold air in place and behind it. This front will slide though the Carolinas on Tuesday night and late Wednesday, a few snow showers of flurries may accompany it. Today’s model data is not quite as impressed with the moisture levels compared to just 24 hours ago, it shows in both the Operational and Ensemble guidance. Both the GFS and Euro are in decent agreement at this time but there is plenty of time to change.

 

Ensembles show that any snow flurry/shower activity will be light in nature with little to no accumulation.


828.PNG
 European Model Ensemble Meteorgrams

European Model Ensemble Meteorgrams

With tonight’s update the Winter Weather Index will remain at the “Social Media Talk” level which is essentially all we’re looking at here at this point. We do officially as of this forecast package have a chance of light snow showers for each of our counties for Wednesday.

 

Winter Storm Index 1-13.png

 

We’ll keep an eye on things in case changes are needed after future model runs.