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Cold air has invaded the region today and we are on the lookout for the next front to deliver arctic air. An upper trough will dive almost due south from Canada the early part of next week and will help re-enforce a deep trough across the Eastern US by midweek.
Along this arctic front moisture may try to gather and interact with the cold air in place and behind it. This front will slide though the Carolinas on Tuesday night and late Wednesday, a few snow showers of flurries may accompany it. Today’s model data is not quite as impressed with the moisture levels compared to just 24 hours ago, it shows in both the Operational and Ensemble guidance. Both the GFS and Euro are in decent agreement at this time but there is plenty of time to change.
Ensembles show that any snow flurry/shower activity will be light in nature with little to no accumulation.
With tonight’s update the Winter Weather Index will remain at the “Social Media Talk” level which is essentially all we’re looking at here at this point. We do officially as of this forecast package have a chance of light snow showers for each of our counties for Wednesday.
We’ll keep an eye on things in case changes are needed after future model runs.