Wednesday Weather Briefing: Here comes the rain again...

Good Wednesday to everyone…if you are a duck or a frog, then today’s weather is right up your alley. Otherwise the next 24 hours is going to feature quite a bit of damp and dreary conditions.

 

Low pressure currently located across the Mid-South will quickly move northeast today and will slide a cold front through the Western Carolinas. Out ahead of it plenty of moisture has pooled up and will move through the region today.

 

Early morning showers will evolve into a heavy and steady rainfall for the late morning hours and the early afternoon. Even with the strength of the front passing through a couple rumbles of thunder cannot be ruled out, especially the further south you are in the coverage area.

 

All signs point to this being a widespread soaking rainfall event today as the heaviest will continue through the early afternoon hours before gradually tapering off. Latest rainfall forecast remains in line with recent thought…1 inch of rainfall for everyone looks to be close to a sure bet area-wide with locally higher amounts focused along southern facing slopes or in locations where convective elements can hold together.


 NAM 3km rainfall through midnight

NAM 3km rainfall through midnight

 

 

Temperatures this morning in the 40’s will be slow to move through the morning hours as rain becomes steady. However we may see some warmth filter in especially in the afternoon. High’s will top out in the 50’s.

 

Clouds will begin to decrease in coverage late today and especially tonight as the front slides east of the area. Colder air will temporarily filter in with overnight temperatures getting down into the 30’s.

 

Thursday and Friday will feature a good bit of sunshine as today’s storm system will be long-gone by that point. Thursday’s high temperature will be in the upper 40’s to around 50 with low 50’s expected on Friday.

 

By Saturday the next rainmaker will be in the developmental stages as short wave energy in the Rockies will help sharpen up west-southwest flow aloft transporting Gulf of Mexico moisture into the Carolinas.

 

 GFS 500mb vort energy (Saturday 7 pm)

GFS 500mb vort energy (Saturday 7 pm)

 

The weekend at this time looks very unsettled in multiple round of rainfall could slide through bringing another soaking rainfall. Considering this would be the third big rain event in a 7-day span, we will begin to monitor for elevated water levels in local streams and creeks…

Have a great Wednesday!

 

 

Daniel Crawley

Foothills Weather Network