Saturday Weather Briefing: Severe Weather expected Sunday followed by a cold shot. Possible frost early next week?

Good Saturday morning, we hope that your weekend is off to a great start…

 

This discussion will break down the weather over the next seven days which features continued warm and pleasant weather today, a stormy Sunday and then one more blast of cold air to begin the new week only to be countered by a fast moderation…

 

 

The definite pick day of the weekend is today as southwest winds will continue to pump warm and increasingly moist air into the Western Carolinas. High’s today will flirt with the 80 degree mark in a few spots under partly cloudy skies.

 

Clouds will only increase as a powerful cold front continues to move east, that will result in a warm, early-summer like evening and overnight (60’s).

 

By Sunday clouds will increase and the chance of showers and thunderstorms will increase rapidly by around lunchtime and will last through the early evening hours. A few storms could be severe with damaging winds and a threat of isolated tornadoes…we’ll have a more detailed look at this later on.

 

One thing we haven’t focused a lot on to this point is the rainfall potential on Sunday, right now we expect a soaking rainfall event that could reach 2+ inches in a few localized areas by Sunday evening. Computer models continue to paint aggressive totals.


 GFS Model Projected Rainfall (Through Monday AM)

GFS Model Projected Rainfall (Through Monday AM)

 

 

This cold front will mean business once it passes through, the rainfall will end before midnight and northwest winds will usher in colder air just in time to begin the new work week.

 

After starting in the 40’s Monday morning it will be a struggle for temps to gain much ground during the afternoon on Monday. High’s may not reach the 60 degree mark in some spots under variable cloudiness.


 GFS Temperatures (2 pm Monday)

GFS Temperatures (2 pm Monday)

 

 

 This cold will linger into Monday night where the chance of frost is there especially in the Foothills on Tuesday morning as low will be in the mid to upper 30’s.

 

 GFS Model Projected Temperatures (Tuesday AM)

GFS Model Projected Temperatures (Tuesday AM)

 

Is this going to be the last threat of a frost? Its hard to exactly declare the all clear for those wanting to plant items for the summer but good news is that we are seeing signs of a sustained warm pattern next week and leading into the final week of April.

 

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Have a great Saturday!

 

Daniel Crawley: @SoApps1979

Foothills Weather Network: @FHWxN