The Week Ahead: Rain, Rain, Rain

Good afternoon, Foothills Weather Nation! Hope you're wearing your rain attire outside today or be ready to get soaked. For that matter- keep it handy because the rest of the week will have you missing sunny days. 

Near Term Forecast (Today and Tonight)

Here's a graphic we shared on social media earlier today issued by the National Weather Service concerning rain totals for our forecasting area. In case you missed it:

30425230_908197032695579_5761652349328428137_o.jpg

Plenty of rain as you can see which is exactly why the NWS has also issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook:

"Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1058 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>070-072-SCZ008-241500-
Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Catawba-Rowan-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-
Cabarrus-Cherokee-
1058 AM EDT Mon Apr 23 2018

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina and
upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Heavy rainfall will move across the area today and tonight. Flooding
may develop in low-lying and flood-prone areas."

At this point they have not issued an official flood warning for any of our counties, but a flood watch has been issued for Rutherford, Caldwell, Burke, McDowell, Cleveland counties through Tuesday morning.  We will be keeping our social media updated on this as our day continues on. 

While rain is the major event in today's forecast the other components is that our temperatures for today will be a bit balmy with high humidity, diurnal high in the mid 50's, low quite warm in the lower 50's or upper 40's. Easterly winds will have a few 20 mph gusts, but overall it will be a moderate wind day of 10-15 mph. Tonight will continue on with more rain and overcast conditions. Might be good to shelter some of your more sensitive plants.

Short Term Forecast (Tuesday-Thursday)

The synoptic weather event that is taking place today on through Tuesday is a slow moving low pressure that's mildly strong, but is full to the brim with moisture. This will dump even more rain on us on Tuesday with a small chance of thunderstorms in the mix as we see higher upper atmospheric shear with the passage of the jet maximum. At this point we don't see this as a high impact severe weather day. 

By Wednesday this low pressure will be mostly past us with a bit of dryer air behind it, but we are still looking at partly cloudy conditions and still a 30% chance of rain for the day. This looks to be the warmest day we will see this work week with temperatures in the low 70's during the day. 

Starting again on Thursday we will see a progression of a weaker shortwave trough that will bring in more precipitation probabilities (40%) for the calendar day of Thursday and Friday. Both days feature partly sunny conditions and temperatures in the upper 60's. 

Long Term Forecast (Saturday and Sunday)

Starting on Friday night we will see our upper level shortwave trough be scooped up by a full featured trough that is particularly dry. The energy and moisture of the shortwave will be thinned out making the weekend into something a bit warmer (mid 70's on Sunday). The thinned humidity will grace us with mostly sunny conditions, but also stronger temperature swings 25-30 degrees between the daily highs and nightly lows. At least it's not rain!

As for the next work week it looks like we will be in a dry spell as a ridge will build over the Plains, climb over the Apps, and generally shelter us from other big weather events until maybe two weekends from now. 

Thanks for reading! 

Try to stay dry. Remember to turn around, don't drown.