Weather Discussion: Saturday, May 12th, 2018

A look at the Ensembles: Hot, then Milder; Wet Weather Coming Next Week

Here is a look at what the European Ensembles are showing for Temperature over the next ten days. Ensembles are simply forecast models that are tweaked slightly to account for all possible scenarios. The temperatures below are the average of nearly 50 iterations of the same model for Morganton, Lincolnton, and Rutherfordton. Notice how the highest temperatures will occur this weekend, with conditions cooling early next week and remaining much milder for the rest of the upcoming period.

 European Ensemble Average High/Low Temperature for Morganton

European Ensemble Average High/Low Temperature for Morganton

 European Ensemble Average High/Low Temperature for Lincolnton

European Ensemble Average High/Low Temperature for Lincolnton

 European Ensemble Average High/Low Temperature for Rutherfordton

European Ensemble Average High/Low Temperature for Rutherfordton

As far as precipitation is concerned, things look dry over the next two to three days, but rain chances step up by Tuesday. Most ensemble members suggest that we will see at least one inch of rain in all areas by next weekend, with the average of all ensemble being around two inches over the next seven days. In short, it looks wet over our area for the next week.

 European Ensembles for Precipitation for Morganton.

European Ensembles for Precipitation for Morganton.

 European Ensembles for Precipitation for Lincolnton

European Ensembles for Precipitation for Lincolnton

 European Ensembles for Precipitation for Rutherfordton

European Ensembles for Precipitation for Rutherfordton

Have a great weekend!

Chase Scott Graham