Saturday Weather Briefing: Active weather continues...

Good Saturday afternoon to everyone…and incase you haven’t noticed over the past several days the Western Carolinas have been locked in to a wet weather pattern thanks to the combination of high pressure out in the Western Atlantic and an upper low/trough that has sat around the Southeast US. This has resulted in a deep southerly fetch gathering Gulf, Atlantic and Carribean moisture sending it up the US East Coast…this afternoon’s water vapor image clearly shows the deep moisture tap. That along with daytime heating and upslope flow has resulted in heavy rainfall…

 

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As we look out into the future we do not see a drastic shift in the weather pattern across the Southeast US. The deep moisture tap has temporarily shifted east toward the Eastern Carolinas but plenty of low level moisture remains in place, so storm chances are going to remain in the forecast through the next 7-Days…

 

Models have come to a conclusion that another weak upper low or surface low will move northward from Florida on Monday and into the Interior Southeast. This looks to be a weaker version of what has just occurred but it serves to keep things unsettled during the afternoon. With plenty of moisture content in place afternoon storms will remain scattered through the early week.

 

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By mid week the region may see a relaxation of storm chances due to a lack of good upper level support. Any storm activation may have to come from differential heating along the higher terrain. With that happening, a return to warmth will occur as temps by mid week will return to the mid/upper 80’s in the afternoon with 60’s at night under muggy conditions.

 

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Once we get to next weekend, which is Memorial Day Weekend,  attention will likely have to be drawn again to the south again for another tropical connection with increased moisture first in Florida and then moving north into sections of the Southeast just in time for the holiday. Its way too early for details but our team will definitely keep an eye on it and will provide more info once we get into the first part of the upcoming week. Stay tuned!

 

 Possible tropical feature next weekend? Deep moisture surges north again...

Possible tropical feature next weekend? Deep moisture surges north again...

 

 

Here’s a look at WPC precip forecast through next Friday…needless to say the Western Carolinas remain active through the forecast period…

 

 WPC Precip Forecast (Through Friday)

WPC Precip Forecast (Through Friday)

 

Daniel Crawley: @SoApps1979

Foothills Weather Network: @FHWxN