Saturday Briefing: Evolution to a drier weather pattern to begin June...

Unless if you have been under a rock for the past 2-3 weeks, you are aware that the Western Carolinas and the Southeast US have been through an extremely wet weather pattern. A pair of storm systems laden with deep tropical moisture resulted in excessive rainfall, the pattern reached its zenith with the dangerous flash flood event across the Foothills earlier this week. This was a result of deep southeast flow thanks to the working tandem of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico and strong high pressure out in the Western Atlantic.

 

 

We have finally broken that pattern and are heading toward a more normal early June regime. The jet stream will re-orient itself over this weekend. The combination of a developing trough in the Northeast and a stout Texas ridge will yield northwest flow across the Southern Appalachians and Western Carolinas. The jet dynamics will have low level moisture to work with initially. Sunday has the potential of being active  thanks to a strong vort pushing through…

 

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Sunday could see scattered storms, a few of them getting on the strong side. Ultimately this feature will carve the trough across the northeast by Monday and push out the remaining low level moisture content. This is all going to set up a nice first full week of June as we will see an initial cool down but the bigger story will be a very noticeable lowering of the humidity…the first half of next week will feel very comfortable for early June standards!

 

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Here’s a look at some of the ensemble guidance as it shows a comfortable stretch of days starting Monday and it will last through the first half of the upcoming week. But it is June after-all and by next weekend a return of the heat/humidity along with a few afternoon storms are possible…

 

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Precipitation amounts for the next several days look to be quite slim…allowing water-logged areas to continue drying out.

 

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Have a great Saturday!

 

Daniel Crawley: @SoApps1979

Foothills Weather Network: @FHWxN