Good Wednesday Morning. I hope your week is off to a good start. It is a pleasant morning out there with temps mainly in the 50’s across our area. Really refreshing. Today’s weather consists of clear to partly cloudy skies as a weak backdoor cold front moves through the area. By evening the front should be to our south. We do not anticipate any rain from this frontal passage and I know that just breaks everyone’s heart. High temps today will start the upward trend with most areas topping out in the upper 60’s. Overnight tonight we remain dry with partly cloudy skies and temps falling back into the 60’s.
For your Thursday weak low pressure that develops over South Carolina tonight will meander toward Charleston. As it does so more humid air will get pulled North and that should lead to a few afternoon and evening thunderstorms. Those should be mainly confined to the mountains but one or two storms may drift into our Western foothill counties. High temps Thursday will climb back up into the upper 80’s. Thursday Night any showers and storms should fall apart with the loss of daytime heating. Skies will be partly cloudy with temps only falling back to the upper 60’s to around 70°.
Friday should be a partly cloudy day that becomes mostly cloudy with scattered storms in the afternoon. Some indications are that storms could become a little more widespread than currently forecast. It’s something we will watch. Precipitable water values should be held in check although any area that does see repeated storms could quickly develop a couple of very localized flash flood issues. High temps Friday in the mid and upper 80’s. Rainfall generall should only range from a quarter to half an inch.
The weekend looks salvageable too. Showers and storms develop both afternoons. I still don’t see a large flash flood issue with any of these because there just doesn’t appear to be anything that would cause the storms to cluster up and train over the same areas repeatedly. High temps both days in the mid 80’s. Chance of rain 40% both days.
Next week has the real potential to be a very wet and very busy week. Rain chances are greatest on Monday and totals could jump up to 1-2 inches depending on where thunderstorms go up. By late next week the US model and the Euro to some extent show a new tropical feature moving North out of the Gulf and into the Southeast. This is something that has our full attention and you will see updates on developments of that system in later forecast discussions. Stay tuned