Christopher White - Chief Meteorologist
Issued 2:30am Saturday July 14th, 2018
Good Saturday Morning. I hope your weekend is off to a great start! As you get out the door this morning temps are warm with most locations in the upper 60’s. It’s partly to mostly cloudy across the area but no rain. High pressure centered over Eastern NC will limit instability across Alexander, Catawba, and Lincoln Counties to only a 10% chance. West of roughly Hwy 16/321 in Burke, Caldwell, Cleveland, McDowell, and Rutherford Counties there will be a 30% chance. These showers and storms will be slow moving but should quickly dissipate in about 30min time frame. Highs today will be in the mid and upper 80’s. Timing for storms today will be between 2pm and 9pm (peak heating hours).
Sunday is the worst of the two days weather wise. High pressure that was over Eastern NC on Saturday will shift East off the Carolina Coastline. Southeast flow will lift up the Eastern Side of the Blue Ridge. An approaching piece of energy will interact with that lift on the East side of The Blue Ridge creating widespread showers and storms after 11am. A few showers could even be ongoing before 11am across the western counties. In response to cloud cover temps will be held in check on Sunday as well, with highs in the upper 80’s to around 90°. Rain chances are 40 - 60%. Even though there will be decent coverage of showers and storms across the area, some people will miss out on the rain altogether this weekend, and that’s why I’m not too bullish on precipitation chances.
Looking into next week Monday remains unsettled. We will start the day off with mainly a cloudy day. A stronger lobe of energy will rotate through the area Monday and interact with an upper level feature to bring another good 40-60% chance of rain. There will likely be a few more appearances of the sun on Monday. A couple of the storms on Monday could be strong to severe. Again though not everyone gets rain. High temps should make it into the low 90’s.
Moisture looks to stick around through the week and we will carry 40-60% chances each day. We will keep and eye on Thursday because the rain may be more widespread as multiple pieces of energy interact with a cold front that will likely stall somewhere across the Carolinas. Tuesday looks to be the hottest day, in the low and mid 90’s.
We hope you have a wonderful Saturday. Stay safe!
Graphics source are from NOAA Weather Predictions Center.