The Week Ahead: just another day in (summer-y) paradise

Good evening, Foothills Weather Nation!

Can you believe we're already halfway through July? How time flies when you're having fun! (If you like the heat, that is.) Let's look at what the week ahead has in store for us.

Near Term (Today)

The National Weather Service has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for today:

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
653 AM EDT Sun Jul 15 2018
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms will develop this afternoon and
evening. The main threats will be cloud-to-ground lightning and gusty
winds, as well as brief heavy downpours. An isolated strong to severe
storm is possible as well, with damaging wind gusts and localized
flooding the greatest concern.

As they mentioned we may have some summer time thunderstorms threatening to make an appearance later tonight, but as it is the chances are reasonably low (20%). From here on today expect partly cloudy conditions that should thicken as we move into Monday, a smooth decline in temperatures down to around 70 degrees tonight, and light southwest winds of around 5 mph. 

Short Term Forecast (Monday-Thursday)

 The first half of the work week looks to be a bit soggy as Monday and Tuesday bring promise of rain and thunderstorms throughout their calendar day. Rainfall totals will be roughly 3/4" with potentially higher totals in areas heavily influenced by stronger thunderstorms and downpours. Wednesday and Thursday look to be drier than the start with mostly sunny conditions. Daily highs for the week will be on the lower side of seasonal with temperatures in the mid to upper 80's with nightly lows in the low 70's and upper 60's.

Long Term Forecast (Friday-Sunday)

This section of the forecast has changed a bit since the model runs of yesterday and this morning.

 500 mb isotachs 18z Sunday, July 15th, 2018 GFS valid 15z Saturday, July 21st, 2018

500 mb isotachs 18z Sunday, July 15th, 2018 GFS valid 15z Saturday, July 21st, 2018

As it was earlier, we were expecting to see a much wetter/weather active weekend, but the impact of the traveling upper level trough has lessened with the post noontime model runs. From what we can see now there will certainly still be a solid likelihood for rain for the later July weekend. The chances have been docked to around 30% for Friday evening and 40% for Saturday through Sunday. Still fair to expect some thunderstorms in the mix for this. Temperatures shouldn't be affected much by the progression of this trough, but such is to be expected in the summer. We will be paying close attention to the weekend to see if the trend will continue to decline.

Thanks for reading

Go get em' Weekday Warriors.

-Sinead L.