Wednesday afternoon briefing: Brief reduction in storms for the late week...

Written by: Daniel Crawley: @SoApps1979

 

Good Wednesday afternoon to everyone…after going through several days of unsettled weather, the synoptic pattern will change a bit as we head toward the upcoming weekend. However as a forewarning, the change may be just temporary as we could re-enter another wet and stormy weather pattern by the first part of next week…

 

Currently this pesky upper trough and low that has impacted the Carolina weather scene going back to last weekend has finally given up the fight and is in the process of moving out of the region. It is providing one last calling card in the form of showers and thunderstorms today. Though as you can see on the water vapor image, drier mid level air is advancing toward the Western Carolinas and it should really kick in starting tonight as we reduce the storm chances drastically over the next 48 hours…

 

 

400.PNG

 

 

Thursday the weather will improve quite a bit across the Western Carolinas as drier air and westerly winds will prevail. We may even avoid storm chances all together tomorrow across the Piedmont while a token 20 % POP will continue across the Foothills. This should prevail into Friday and possibly Saturday…with the lowered moisture content expect temperatures during the daytime to respond in kind over the next 2-3 days, reached late July norms (Upper 80 to near 90) with mild nighttime values in the mid/upper 60’s.

 

 

401.PNG

 

 

As we get to the second half of the weekend you can already see the next player on the playing field as the main upper trough located across Canada begins to move east, however a tail piece of that trough will break off and begin to dig southeast toward the Mississippi River. This piece of energy will be the genesis of the next storm system. Scattered storms will begin to increase in coverage for the tail end of the weekend as a result and will increase drastically going into next week.

 

 

402.PNG

 

Once we get into early next weekend we are quickly heading back into a wet pattern as the digging trough firmly centers itself roughly along the Mississippi River. With that and a stout Bermuda High in place, look for the deep tropical moisture to re-enter the equation giving the region high shower/storm chances for next week.

 

 

403.PNG

 

 

 

 

 

Precip amounts over the next 7 days continued to look quite wet across the Carolinas with the western part of the state possibly getting the higher amounts. However as stated above, this will be back-end loaded…

 

 

404.PNG

 

 

Temperatures the next 7-Days is highly dependent  on the amount of moisture that is in place. The ensemble guidance is quite aggressive with 90’s through he weekend in both our foothill and piedmont locations but come next week you can easily see the influence of the next deep trough in terms of the temperatures.

 

 

405.PNG
406.PNG