Submitted by Daniel Crawley: (@SoApps1979)
We are taking a look at the weather for your Friday and it appears that some ingredients may come together to produce another good round of showers and thunderstorms for the Western Carolinas…
Late this evening we have a feature moving through at the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere crossing the Mississippi River and dropping toward the general direction of Memphis Tennessee. This upper feature on Friday will turn east and slowly weaken as it crosses the Tennessee Valley Region…but it will not weaken fast enough to prevent a solid trigger for storms. This is a setup with similarities to that of what we experienced on Wednesday, this will have to be monitored through the overnight model runs.
Along with the upper level features there will be a good amount of surface instability and low level moisture to serve as the thunderstorm fuel needed. Surface CAPE values will be more than sufficient enough to get the storms going and with Precipitable Water Values at or above normal values, any storm will be very efficient rainfall producers.
Tomorrow’s storms will have the chance to produce gusty winds, torrential rainfall and dangerous amounts of lightning…
The best timeframe for storms are from mid afternoon through the late evening hours, so if you have outdoor plans on Friday, have a plan in case storms roll though your location…