Flash Flooding & Spring like temperatures

Good Thursday evening everyone! I hope that you had a wonderful day. 

We are watching a very unsettled weather pattern shaping up over our area over the next week. 

Much of this winter we have seen a cool and dry pattern over the area. That is about to change. High pressure is beginning to regain it's strength off the Southeast coast. That is allowing some warmer temperatures, and somewhat active weather pattern. The Jet stream is able to dip and gather moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, the Atlantic Ocean and even somewhat from the Pacific ocean. That will allow very moist air to move into the area. 

Several rounds of rain will move into the area Friday evening, and will last through a good portion of next week. Saturday through Thursday show chances of rain each day. Saturday we will see rounds of rain and some of it will be heavy. But as we go into Saturday night through Sunday heavy rain will be a big story.

Concern is growing that Flash Flooding may be possible across the area. We are in a Marginal threat to see flash flooding Saturday into Sunday. 

2018-02-08_19-33-25.jpg

We will continue that heavy rain into Sunday night. As we got into Monday our chances of rain start to back off some, instead of seeing 70-90% chances of rain, we see 20-40% chance of rain. All in all another 2-4" of rain is expected through the Foothills and Western Piedmont. 

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Not only is the rain going to be a big story, but the major warm up will be as well. It has been a very cold winter, we started off 2018 with 8 straight days at or below freezing. 

Those temperatures will be all but a memory as we head into the middle to end of next week. The Climate Prediction Center has placed Western North Carolina 60 - 70% above normal in the temperature department. 

The long range models show that as well... 

 GFS - American Model 

GFS - American Model 

 ECMWF - Euro Model 

ECMWF - Euro Model 

So for the mid to latter part of February it may feel more like April, then February.

 

Have a Great Evening! 

Scotty Powell