weather discussion

Thursday, MAY 25TH, 2017

Happy Thursday. The weekend is almost here. Here's what to expect:

Short Term Forecast (Thursday-Thursday Night)

While the rain was initially well appreciated, I believe it's fair to say that after our last strand of "Weather Ready" days most of us will be happy for our next cycle of fair weather. Finally our ever-persistent upper level trough is lifting (weakening) and moving away to our northeast. Before it goes the majority of Thursday will be spent mostly cloudy topping out a precipitation probability of 60% between 2 and 5 pm. A chance of thunderstorms will have a brief blip around 2 pm, but there isn't the emphasis on this chance as it was earlier this week. Our exiting trough is bringing us a bit of wind (W at 10-15 mph) and gusts (up to 25 mph) as it scoots out. Skies will be clearing and rain chances will be dropping after 6 pm. Thursday's daily high will maintain it's low 70's kick and the overnight low will sink to the mid 50's. 

Mid Term Forecast (Friday-Sunday)

Friday will set up for a brief, weak ridge that will provide crystal clear skies, weaker winds fishtailing into a more southerly flow, climbing temperatures with a high in the upper 70's, low hovering at 60. Saturday and Sunday produce slightly interesting results as the weak ridge flattens, inducing a more zonal flow ahead of a quick-paced shortwave trough. What does this say for our Memorial Day Weekend? Saturday being more zonal will have mostly sunny skies, high in the mid 80's, with a 30% chance of rain and thunderstorms for the midday. Sunday is the entrance and life of our shortwave trough, which allows for the temperatures to generally maintain in the mid 80's, but introduces a thicker cloud cover and higher precipitation chance (including thunderstorms) of around 60%.

Thanks for reading!

Sinead Lockhart