Good Friday afternoon, today offers a brief reprieve from the oppressive humidity and storm chances. However some things at a synoptic level is lining up for a potentially active weather weekend.
Aloft, high pressure is building across the Gulf Coast Region and will shift west into the Southern Plains by this weekend.
This is going to put the Western Carolinas on the outer edge of this ridge as early as Saturday and persisting into early next week...
At this time of the year, thunderstorm complexes love to ride the northern extent of the ridge and dive into the Southeast US.
Short range modeling is already picking up on the potential for this...as early as the late night hours tonight and going into Saturday...
Here’s a progression of storms during the next 24 hours...
Today 2 pm:
Tonight 8 pm:
Saturday 2 am:
Saturday 8 am:
Usually in this kind of weather pattern in the summer, not every thunderstorm complex delivers with rain and severe weather due to the complex nature of surviving the trek over the Southern Appalachians...but 1 or 2 of these waves during this kind of pattern usually does hold together and can be a severe weather producer.
Our best advise to you is to be Weather Aware starting overnight tonight and through the weekend. Our weather team will monitor the situation and will provide additional info once a storm threat becomes more defined.