Good Monday everyone. I hope that your day is off to a good start! A chilly morning to start the day, many areas dropped into the low to mid 20's.
Monday should give us a fairly quiet weather day. High cirrus clouds will continue to move into the area ahead of our next weather maker. Temperatures today should top out in the low to mid 50's. Tonight clouds will begin the thicken up across the area as the arctic cold front moves into the area.
Tuesday is an interesting day, The strong cold front will begin to approach the area by mid morning (8 am). This will allow rain to changeover to snow in our NW Communities like Jonas Ridge, Woodlawn, North Cove, Colletsville, and Blowing Rock. The National Weather Service upgraded the Winter Storm Watch, to a Winter Weather Advisory for the mentioned areas.
In the lower elevations we could see a few sprinkles or light rain showers by sunrise. The front doesn't have a lot of moisture to work with.. Light rain showers will continue for Greater McDowell, Greater Burke, and Greater Caldwell through the late morning hours. As the short term models start to really get a handle on the situation, it looks like they are finally starting show the cold air doesn't rush into the area, like the models have previously painted out. So snowfall is most likely over the mountains. We could see some flakes mix in over the foothills and Western Piedmont. But the bigger problem will be the potential of seeing black ice develop Tuesday evening, as the cold arctic air moves in. Temperatures start to drop by 3 pm in Burke,McDowell, Rutherford, and Caldwell Counties. By 4 pm temps start to drop in Alexander, Catawba, Lincoln, and Cleveland Counties. Lows should fall into the teens by Tuesday night/ Wednesday morning.
Wednesday and Thursday another arctic high pressure will build into the area. We could see some gusty winds outside of the mountains. Temperatures will struggle to make it into the mid to upper 30's on Wednesday and Thursday. Those gusty breezes will make wind chills feel even colder.
By Friday we start to moderate our temperatures into the 40's and by the weekend we are back in the 50's, with a chance of rain on Sunday.
As we look towards the first full week of February a warm up is anticipated.