Good Tuesday morning to everyone it was a chilly start to the day, temperatures dropped down into the upper 30s and low 40s under clear skies and low humidity.
Looking at the weather on a national level it is quiet for about 2/3rds of the nation. You have to get along and west of the Rockies to find unsettled conditions.
a strong upper level system in the southwest will move along to the east, this feature will need to be watched later in the week as it could bring another round of severe weather to a lot of the areas that experienced it this past week.
Here in the short term high pressure will be moving off the Southeast coast and the return flow will allow temps to respond accordingly.
After a chilly and windy Monday, expect much improvement today as highs will reach the 70’s under mostly sunny skies. Tomorrow and Thursday we will tack on a few more degrees. Someone in our eastern counties may flirt with the 80 mark by Thursday.
At that point our upper level feature will start to influence the weather here locally. By early Friday a negative tilt trough may begin to close off into an upper low back across the Northern Gulf Coast States and Tennessee Valley.
Anytime in the spring you see an upper feature turn negative and close off, the immediate concern is for severe weather and/or a heavy rain threat. Being that this is still 3-4 days out the details of severe weather don’t matter as much as the recognition of the threat itself.
The Storm Prediction Center already has a Day 3 (Thursday) Slight Risk issued for the Mid-South and Southeast US and then in its general Day 4 (Friday) Outlook the Carolinas are targeted.
We will definitely monitor the situation over the next few days and update you as more guidance rolls in. For right now, treat Good Friday as a “Weather Aware” Day.