Convection amounts have lowered this morning in response to instability going down. Torrential rain bands will continue though just not as widespread, initially this morning. Some of our Eastern slopes have received upwards of 20 inches of rainfall with this system. As such we, along with Emergency Management ask that tourists remain out of the Wilsons Creek Gorge, Linville Gorge, and Peppers Creek.
Instability will increase today as convection gets going to our South once again. That will then be transported and lifted up the Eastern slopes again. Therefore today will likely be the worst day for flash flooding. Alexander, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba, and Lincoln have all received ample flash flooding from this event and knowing that today may be the worst day of the event should be cause for concern. It is imperative to follow warnings and the directions of emergency personnel. Rainfall totals of 1 - 3 inches will be common today with locally higher amounts exceeding 5 inches.
Tonight the flow will veer a little back to the South from the Southwest. This will cut down on the duration of upslope flow rain overnight Sunday into Monday. While scattered showers and storms will still be possible along the foothills tonight, rainfall rates will come down a little as well.
Monday a cold front will approach from the West and move into the area during peak heating. This will develop another round of showers and thunderstorm that will move through the area. A couple of these storms could be strong or severe. Rainfall rates will be 1- 1.5 inches per hour so it could cause some more localized flash flooding. Certainly something to watch and keep track of.
Tuesday and Wednesday a backdoor cold front will move into the area from the North and keep clouds and showers around for the majority of both days. Rainfall rates should be much lower, limiting the flooding potential a bit.
The first day with zero percent chance of rain will come just in time for next weekend, Friday! Normal summertime showers and storms could develop Saturday and Sunday.
Stay weather aware today! Be safe and we will get through this together, just as we always do!