Ice Threat to Flood Threat This Week

Hello everyone! I hope your Tuesday has been good so far!

A Winter Weather Advisory has been issued for the entire forecast area starting tonight and lasting through Noon Wednesday.

This afternoon we will start to see some clouds begin to filter into the area. Moisture will increase with this process. We will likely see a sleet/freezing rain mix begin after 9 - 10 PM across the area. As warm air aloft moves in, any sleet threat will change to a freezing rain threat as the warm air aloft melts the sleet pellet. The cold air at the surface will deepen due to the precipitation falling.

Freezing rain and or freezing drizzle will continue through the night and into Wednesday morning. Currently up to 0.10" of ice is possible. Short range models have showed the system having a little more moisture to work with, so I wouldn't be shocked to see some locations reach 0.15" of ice accretion.

Remember Freezing rain is rain that falls to the surface and freezes on contact. Although it may look like rain, it is called freezing rain.

Though we've bigger ice events already this winter season, this one is a little more concerning as the ground has sufficiently cooled enough to support ice build up on area roadways, bridges, overpasses, and sidewalks. Those will be the problem spots. I would not be surprised at all to see some businesses, and schools issue delays or cancellations.

We will warm above freezing by Midday Wednesday, but still remain quiet chilly. Wednesday night into Thursday we will see another wave of heavy rain. This could produce 1-2" of rain in a short amount of time.

That is concerning as our ground is still fairly saturated. We could see some flooding in some locations. The Weather Prediction Center has highlighted our area for the concern of some flooding in their latest heavy rain outlook.

So as you can see we have a very busy 48 hours ahead of us!

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