Good Christmas Day everyone! I hope that you all have had a good day so far! A few high cirrus clouds have moved into the area this morning, giving us a hazy sunny sky. We will continue to see a few more high clouds stream into the area with highs reaching the mid to upper 40's.
Wednesday should remain partly cloudy as high pressure moves into place. Highs will reach the upper 40's to low 50's.
Wednesday night clouds will increase, ahead of what looks to be a pretty significant rain maker. High pressure will be situated to our Northeast. Unfortunately it is a transit low, which will not supply a bunch of cold air into the area. So expect to see a fairly chilly day with a wedge setting up over the area.
Friday the wedge starts to break down, so we could see the temperatures rise and could also kick off some instability across the area. So a very isolated thunderstorm can't be ruled out. Some models are wanting to stall the front near the area, so we could hang on to the shower threat through weekend. Highs Friday - Sunday will be in the mid to upper 50's.
The flood threat is slightly more elevated for this event. We tap into rich flow of Gulf moisture which could give us copious amounts of heavy rain. I'm afraid this event, might trigger the disruptive flooding that we've feared over the last few events.
As of right now a solid 3-5" of rain is expected across the area.
A few locations in McDowell, Burke, and Caldwell Counties could approach 6".
Looking in the long range, right after New Years the pattern may start to transition to a colder pattern. The storm track looks to remain active. We will have to see how that pans out.
Merry Christmas everyone! I hope you have a happy and safe Christmas!