Mild Weather Continues before colder, wet changes for the Weekend

Good Wednesday evening to everyone, we hope that you have had a great day...


Valentines Day looks to be a repeat of what the region experienced today, seasonably cold night time temperatures but with abundant sunshine and down-sloping winds, expect temps to response nicely tomorrow reach near 60 degrees in a few spots...



Computer Model Projected High's for Thursday...


Here's a more detailed look at what to expect locally and how it might impact plans with your loved one for Valentine's Day...







The end of the workweek looks to continue the current pattern of mild conditions thanks to zonal flow at the jet stream level across the Eastern United States. Friday's high's may exceed Thursday's values by a couple degrees, reaching the 60's area-wide before some clouds roll in later in the day...



Model Projected High Temperatures Friday...



Some changes in the upper level weather pattern will begin starting Friday and will really kick in this weekend and last for the rest of the current 7-Day Forecast period. The Jet Stream appears to buckle along the West Coast and some of the weather that has been impact Washington, Oregon and California may get a push east through the Rockies and into the heart of the country...meanwhile southeast ridging will get a slight nudge east allowing an active storm track to develop across the Southland...normally this would be an encouraging sign for winter weather lovers but unfortunately the Southeast Ridge will try to re-assert itself into the region...


As you can see on this 500mb weather chart a true weather battleground is going to set up down the road from along the Southern Plains into the Southeast US...


Multiple pieces of upper level energy will help spawn surface low pressure and it will take a route through the interior southeast. Meanwhile some low level cold air may try to make a close approach to the region....this pattern is likely going to result in at least one wintry precip event in parts of Virginia, West Virginia and Kentucky...but can enough low level cold make it into Western North Carolina? The jury is still out but at this time we are leaning against anything being significant. There is plenty of time for that to change, we'll keep an eye on it.




Regardless we are looking at the potential of a heavy precip at times during the next seven days, regardless of type...so even if we don't get a wintry event from this, attention could transition over to excessive rainfall and flash flooding...





Keep an eye on the 7-Day forecast daily for specific details on which days may be the most active...


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