More Hot and Humid Weather to begin the week, Changes abound for the first weekend of October



Good Sunday evening to everyone, hard to believe but its officially fall. Unfortunately mother nature has yet to receive the memo...


High Pressure continues to lock in across the Southeast US bring very warm and humid conditions to our part of the world. Infact humid enough to where a few storms have popped up in the afternoons especially along the Blue Ridge. This kind of pattern will persist through the middle part of the upcoming work week...








As we get toward the end of the work week, some significant changes look to occur in the temperature department...



The heat ridge will slide west centering itself more over Texas and the Southern Plains. Meanwhile a ridge centered over Baffin Bay (Canada) will help usher northwest flow over New England. Now that it will be the first days of October, some cold air can dislodge from Canada and that indeed looks to be the case once we get toward the end of the current 7-Day Forecast, this weekend.




The 850 mb temperatures (5,000 ft) clearly shows that some colder air will finally work into New England and Southeast Canada. Some of that colder air will also drain down the east side of the Appalachians by the weekend...









A surface high on Saturday will be centered over the Great Lakes Region, that will usher a cooler and more seasonal airmass change for the Carolinas. Some of it may come in the fashion of a cold air damming event at some point next weekend, that is something to be determined through the next few days...but ultimately a true taste of fall weather will invade the Carolinas.





Model Ensemble data indicates that the upcoming week should at the very least eliminate the abnormal warmth that has dominated the month of September and once we get to the first weekend of October, we should get back to a temperature pattern that is a bit more normal for this time of the year.








The drawback to all of this...we are still looking at a dry pattern overall which is not good for the growing drought conditions in the Carolinas and the Southeast...





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