Good Friday afternoon to everyone. We are monitoring for the potential of an active weekend in terms of storms across a large portion of the Southern US.
Here locally we could see impacts from this upcoming weather event but it would be Sunday at the earliest. Today’s weather is from a separate entity all together.
Strong low pressure will form across Texas on Saturday and will move toward the Ohio Valley on Sunday. This storm system will have plenty of moisture and dynamics to work with to produce severe weather.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Moderate Risk for severe weather tomorrow (Saturday) across the Arklatex Region and moving northeast toward the Mid-South. All the ingredients look to be coming together for a severe weather outbreak, including the risk for Tornadoes...
As we get into Day 3 (Sunday) this system will be moving up into the Ohio Valley and a strong cold front will be charging east through the Southern US. With abundant warmth, moisture and dynamics in play, the severe weather will likely translate east. Therefor the Storm Prediction Center has issued an Enhanced Risk of severe weather for a large area of the Southern and Eastern US.
This is a broad guess at this point as to who could receive severe weather...notice that the Western Carolinas are in play for the threat. The SPC will likely narrow this down when tomorrow’s Day 2 Outlook is posted.
Here is a look at the models and the general timeline on which we think these storms will evolve this weekend...
Saturday 4 pm
Sunday 8 am
As you can see, any possible local impacts were they to occur could be during peak heating hours of Sunday. We advise everyone across the Western Carolinas to remain Weather Aware and have a plan in place if severe weather approaches. Our weather team will continue to provide updates through the weekend.