Good Thursday morning to everyone...as we talked about a couple days ago, a dynamic storm system is expected to impact the region on Good Friday and the ingredients are coming together for another severe weather event.
The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk (2 of 5) of severe weather for all of the Foothills and Western Piedmont with an Enhanced Risk issued roughly along and east of Interstate 77.
Damaging straight line winds appear to be the biggest threat at this time, an isolated tornado is possible but more likely within the Enhanced Risk area.
One thing that may help prevent this from being a much bigger severe weather event locally is the time of day in which the storms will roll through. Right now we expect storms to arrive prior noon with a slow progression east through the afternoon hours. That will limit surface instability.
Regardless the timing, we are still dealing with a lot of wind energy just off the surface, so any convective element is capable of producing damaging winds.
Another feature of this storm system is the heavy rain potential. Upslope rain showers will begin as soon as late tonight and will be on-going first thing in the morning. 1-2 inches of rain is possible through Friday evening with locally higher in areas that get multiple rounds of convection.
Tomorrow is a day to remain Weather Aware as conditions could deteriorate by late morning in our coverage area.