The Week Ahead: April Showers

Good afternoon, Foothills Weather Network! I hope you have enjoyed the start to our spring in April pardon 4/2 where we had our last little bout of winter. As Chief Meteorologist Chris White has mentioned in his last two posts, we have some interesting weather coming up in the next couple of days which is just a part of what we expect to be an active and wet weather pattern. We find it important to note that the middle of April is historically when we see severe weather events begin to take our focus. Often times as well the models struggle to depict a clear image on what we can expect specifically for the Foothills with much more than a couple of days in advance. It’s important at this time of year to keep up to date with the forecast to stay weather ready!

With all of that said, our discussion today will focus generally on what to expect for our Week Ahead. Make sure to check in throughout the week for further updates.

Near Term Forecast (Tonight)

Our mainly overcast day will come with some showers as we move on to the night as our westerly flow turns more southerly. Along with the change in direction we will see a flux of convective energy and upslope flow which could bring us a chance of isolated thunderstorms throughout the evening and a trend pointing to warmer temperatures. Overnight rainfall totals should remain light with under a tenth of an inch.

Short Term Forecast (Monday - Tuesday)

We don’t expect much of a pause in the rain from Sunday as we go into Monday and Tuesday. This portion of our forecast is dominated by the entering, existence, and passing of a shortwave trough. For Monday the bulk of North Carolina is at risk of severe thunderstorms with a stronger chance as we look towards the later part of the afternoon as there will be more convective energy and deep layer wind shear. Monday evening into Tuesday morning our shortwave will have progressed through bringing along a cold front. Don’t let the idea of a cold front fool you as surface temperatures will hardly be impacted with its passage. This will reflect more with the continued convective and frontal energy bringing about more possibilities of thunderstorms for Tuesday day. Expect temperatures for Monday and Tuesday to be in the mid 70’s for the daily high. Nightly low for Monday into Tuesday will be right around the 60 degree mark thanks to the insulation provided by the clouds while Tuesday night into Wednesday we will see our clouds clear out and thus our nightly low hover closer to the 50 degree mark.

Long Term Forecast (Wednesday – Sunday)

We have a break in the storms for the length of Wednesday as a ridge pushes eastward into the Mid Atlantic states. This will bring us fair skies, temperatures in the mid 70’s, lower humidity, and northwesterly flow. Thursday will be much of the same with a slight chance (30%) of an afternoon rain shower. While we are graced by our higher pressures a well developed trough will roll out of the Rockies, across the Great Plains, and nudge into the northeast come Thursday night/Friday morning. This will bring a new chance of rain and potential for thunderstorms as we reside within the warm sector of this system for Friday and Saturday. By Saturday night a cold front will begin to climb over the Appalachians and will bring temperatures down to the 40’s overnight and mid 60’s for Sunday day.

Thank you for reading! I hope you all have a great week.


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