Good afternoon, Foothills Weather Nation and Happy Mother's Day to all of the women who are so special in our lives. We hope you feel the love today! As our weekend is coming to a close we are needing to take a look at what we can expect for our next work week. Last week it was a mix of wet and dry, but this week it looks like we will be pretty lucky!
Our forecast will be written in two parts as our surface conditions will have two general experiences. Let's get to it!
Short Term Forecast (Monday - Thursday)
An upper-level trough's axis will cross over the Apps and through NC all in one breath on Monday which will bring a cold frontal passage, but of course nothing regarding rain beyond 7 am Monday morning. There might be some light overnight showers between Sunday and Monday, but that should be gone by the time we're doing our morning commute. As it is a cold front we will see some milder temperatures that are to linger in the low 70's for Monday and Tuesday which is only a few degrees below average for our region, mid 70's for Wednesday, and upper 70's by Thursday.
The entire experience of this chunk of the forecast is mostly sunny or partly cloudy, mild winds starting from the west, to the northwest, to the southwest by the end of the period. The dominant weather pattern during this time is this slow moving, wide ridge that will be building and crawling slowly eastward as it develops east of the Rockies.
Long Term Forecast (Friday-Sunday)
There is a bit of forecast uncertainty here as there are some discrepancies in the models and model runs regarding when we can expect the entrance of a moderate strength upper level trough and also the timing and placement of moisture as it enters and passes through.There might be a chance for a day or so of convective or diurnal thunderstorms and maybe precipitation late Sunday ahead of a frontal passage. What we can say for certain is that we can expect it to warm up a quite a bit during this time, ranging from a couple to several degrees above normal for the weekend. Friday we expect it to be mostly sunny but Saturday and Sunday we would see a increase in cloud coverage if only from the amount of precipitable water in the atmosphere. Right now, the chances of precipitation for Saturday and Sunday are generally low (20-30%), but this is likely to change as we near the end of the week. Expect daily highs in the low 80's, mid 80's and upper 80's respectively and nightly lows in the low 50's, mid 50's, and upper 50's respectively as well.
Thank you very much for reading! I hope you all have a blessed rest of your day and have a beautiful week!