The Week Ahead: Reprise of the Heat

Good evening, Foothills Weather Nation and a happy Sunday to you and yours! Today is beginning to come to a close, but we're not out of the woods just yet for the possibility of a few isolated showers and thunderstorms. The National Weather Service issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook for today at 6:50 this morning:


"650 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2019


This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, western

North Carolina including the Charlotte area, and Upstate South

Carolina.


.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.


Scattered thunderstorms will develop across the region today, mainly

this afternoon and evening. The primary threat from these slowly-

moving thunderstorms will be locally heavy rainfall and the

potential for flash flooding. All of the thunderstorms will produce

cloud-to-ground lightning. Some thunderstorms may have gusty winds,

and damaging wind gusts will be possible in one or two of the

strongest storms. The greatest coverage of the thunderstorms will be

in and near the southwest mountains of western North Carolina,

especially from Brevard to the Balsams to near Cashiers.


.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.


No hazardous weather is expected at this time."


Last week we discussed Barry's potential impact on the Foothills this upcoming week, noting that we might see a higher than average rain total and potential. Good news for us is that the overall anticipated impact of Barry at this time has decreased quite a bit, but that doesn't leave us scot-free. In the next couple of days the now Tropical Depression Barry will continue to trek a couple hundred miles north before being consumed and incorporated into our regularly scheduled summer weather patterns. What will change here is the amount of energy in that Barry will provide some extra "umpf" into the frontal passage we expect to see in the middle of the week. We will get further into the details when we discuss this part of the week.


Let's begin!


"Near" Term Forecast (Monday and Tuesday)

As we already mentioned what is left for the day today we will move our near term forecast period to the first two days of our work week. The first two days we can expect to be still active with the change of our convective thunderstorms both days, but they should be generally short lived while still providing plenty of potential to be potent. Despite having our fairly mild winds from the north-northwest we expect to see temperatures this entire week be back to the low to mid 90's across the forecasting area and humidity still oppressively high leading to some fairly uncomfortable conditions.


"Short" Term Forecast (Wednesday and Thursday)

As previously mentioned, this is where we will see the flux of severe weather as a trough will progress through the area bringing with it rain and likely some robust thunderstorms. As also mentioned earlier, the rain totals are in line for what we would expect for this time of year, so our major concern for this time frame of the forecast is the severe weather potential.


Long Term Forecast (Friday through Sunday)

Once we get over the hump of severe weather potential we will see the heat peak as our temperatures climb into the mid 90's with a heat index possibly peaking near 100 degrees for the southeast section of the forecasting area thanks to the continued bounty of humidity. Convective storms will be likely for Friday and Saturday, but as of right now our chances for rain on Sunday is a smidgen lower at 20%. Of course, this is likely to change, but we will just have to wait and see.


Thank you very much for reading! I hope everyone has a wonderful week!

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