Good afternoon! Happy Tuesday! As Daniel did a great job in explaining what to expect up to this point in the week we will take a look at what to expect from this point moving on.
Let's get to business!
Near Term Forecast (Today and tomorrow)
With respects to today and tomorrow the NWS has issued a Hazardous Weather Outlook that reads as follows:
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for piedmont North Carolina and
western North Carolina.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible today and tonight.
Cloud-to-ground lightning, brief heavy rain, and damaging winds will
be the primary threats. An isolated tornado could not be ruled out.
Hot and humid conditions will allow for heat index values to be in
the 100 to 104 degree range today. Use caution when participating in
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.
Hot and humid conditions will continue, allowing for heat index
values to near 103 degrees in some locations across the Northwest
Piedmont on Wednesday. Use caution when participating in outdoor
There are also Severe Thunderstorm warnings and watches being issued across our forecasting area as we write this which is to say that we are in the process now of experiencing our big weather events for today. Tomorrow also looks stormy as well with our chance of precipitation being at a solid 60% and will have very similar conditions as today. It would be advised to be attentive if you or your family plan on doing any commuting or look to spend time outdoors for the next couple of days. Any children, elderly folks, and pets should not spend large amount of time outside during this forecasting period. Please consider keeping everyone inside to avoid heat-related illnesses and deaths.
Short Term Forecast (Thursday - Friday)
Our heat wave will have generally passed as of Thursday and Friday as temperatures will trend back down to seasonal. That being said, with the humidity present it will still feel rather oppressive, so make sure to find shade, take plenty of breaks, and keep hydrated if you plan on spending any time outdoors. Thursday we have enough of this humidity to still provide the chance of afternoon thunderstorms (30%), but Friday we might find ourselves in a bit of a lull as humidity and energy make a slight dip. This is not to suggest it is impossible for a stray storm to pass through- we know that there is nearly no such thing as a 0 percent chance of rain in any normal North Carolina summer.
For this period expect daily highs hovering just around 90 degrees, nightly lows just around 70. Winds will be light and variable which may not provide many of us any relief when spending time outdoors.
Long Term Forecast (Saturday and Sunday)
Saturday we will be in a similar situation as Friday as predominantly zonal (west to east) upper atmospheric flow continues to dominate our weather conditions. Mainly, this suppresses the shear needed for wide spread severe storms to happen as easily and does not encourage much change in the forecast from Thursday to Saturday. Starting Sunday we do see a bit of change as a shortwave trough develops in the Ohio River Valley, then propagates and descends down into the Mid Atlantic. This quick and little bout of energy suggests we can see some showers and thunderstorms for the rest of the weekend. Current changes of precipitation for Sunday are 30% and the overall daily high can still be expected to sit right around 90 degrees across the forecasting area.
Thank you very much for reading! I hope you have a safe and wonderful rest of your week!