Tuesday Severe Weather Risk Update. Risk Down Just A Hair
Good Monday Morning.
Hoelfully everyone had a restful night. Some drizzle out there this morning. No severe weather today. A full weather discussion will be issued a bit later.
Lets look and break down the severe weather threat on Tuesday. A couple of things are working in our favor. First, here is the latest SPC Tuesday Severe Weather Outlook.
Notice the green sliver across the foothills indicating a downgrade to a marginal risk for severe weather? That is great news. This is due to timing, dynamics,and terrain.
First off is the timing. The prefrontal band of severe storms should be moving into the mountains in a weaker state around daybreak on Tuesday Morning. This timing makes it to where this line moves through when the atmospheric energy is at it’s lowest.
Notice Futirecast indicating the line of storms making it to the mountains by 7am Tuesday.
By 10am the line is moving into the foothills. Now this isn’t an exact timing but we do believe it will
pass during the mid tomlate morning timeframe before the atmosphere has time to destablize.
As the line raches Cleveland County and the Hwy 16 Corridor though it will start to regain its strength.
Alexander, Catawba, Cleveland, and Lincoln Counties have the best shot of seeing severe weather Tuesday. The main impacts will be damaging winds in excess of 58mph and/or an isolated tornado.
Our Western counties risks are lower than those in our eastern counties.
While the threat has reduced overnight across our western counties, the threat even there is not zero. Of course this is something we will keep our eyes on.
Foothills Weather Network