Weather Ready Action Day. Storms From This Afternoon Through Monday Morning Could Be Severe.
High Impact Weather Briefing #4
Easter Sunday Morning April 12th, 2020
Valid Noon Today Through 8am Monday
Good morning. First off Happy Easter to you and your family! He has risen indeed! That’s such a blessing of hope in trying times! On to weather.
Changes with this mornings update include the quicker arrival of thunderstorms and adding thunder to the forecast as early as 1:00pm this afternoon. We will now hold thunder chances for about 14 - 18hours. It will not storm that entire time but clusters of storms will move through off and on again. Any of those storms could produce quick 60-80mph wind gusts or a brief and weak tornado. The risk of a significant long track tornado is still on the table but I am encouraged by the latest model runs in taking that risk down across our area. Cleveland County Keep your eye on this. If anyone has a higher risk of seeing a strong tornado it would be you. It only takes one though just like in Nashville the first part of March. The main severe weather event will come though in the morning (Monday Morning) between 1am and 8am.
Medium risk for severe weather for all 8 counties. Main risk is damaging winds. Large hail could occur but chances of that are best further east. A few isolated brief tornadoes are possible this afternoon, tonight, and through 8am Monday. The highest risk of tornadic weather and damaging winds is between 1am and 8am Monday.
Isolated areas of flash flooding are possible anywhere but the greatest risk of flash flooding is in the mountains where Flash Flood Watches are you until 8am Monday.
Make sure you are ready for severe weather. Have your plan ready to be put into action should it be needed this afternoon and tonight. Have multiple ways to receive warnings tonight. A weather radio can wake you up even though you may not hear alerts in your phone. I know these are difficult times. Please find somewhere you can be safe though. Remember if you come across flooded roadways don’t cross them. Turn around, don’t drown. Especially at night when the road may be washed out from under the water flow.
Next briefing as needed today. As always let us know if there are any questions.