Good afternoon, Foothills Weather Nation! I hope everyone has had the opportunity to enjoy our spot of sunshine today as it won't be here tomorrow. We wanted to focus on the early part of this week as we have new updates to the forecast.
We will finish out our day with partly cloudy conditions as cloud coverage will begin to increase on through the night. Starting around 4 am on Sunday we will see our precipitation probabilities roll in, which we know will be only rain as the overnight low will bottom out around 45 degrees.
We don't expect Sunday to warm up much at all, and the rainfall totals for the day should near just around an inch of rain. The image above is from the GFS with the highest flux of precipitable water during all of Sunday right around the 21z hour, but we can expect the bulk of our heavier rain to be between 3 and 9 pm.
Once we get Sunday out of the way, we should see a generally clear start to the work week with mild opportunities for further precipitation. We have had our eye on the timing of the moisture and impending strong cold front, but the models are trending closer and closer to a minor to benign event as there is a solid misstep. As it is now, global models and general ensembles are shifting further and further away from having a snow event on Tuesday.
With that being said, we do see a slight bit of moisture in the earlier part of Tuesday, so there is a small chance we can see a few stray flurries. The graphic above is for 9z on Tuesday as per the GFS regarding precipitable water.
To address the temperature reference of this post, Sunday will be right at or under 50 degrees with an overnight low right around 40 degrees. Monday will also be 50 degrees, partly sunny, low around 30 degrees. Tuesday, mostly sunny, mid 40's, overnight low around 20's, and lastly Wednesday will be sunny, high around 40 degrees.
I hope everyone stays dry tomorrow and warm following the front!
Thanks for reading!