Forecast Discussion: Tuesday, August 15th, 2017

Short-Term Forecast: Tuesday and Wednesday

At the upper levels of the atmosphere, a ridge of high pressure will set up over the Eastern United States, which will favor warmer temperatures over our area. At the surface, there will be a lack of many major synoptic features in our immediate area, allowing for a general risk of afternoon thunderstorms on Tuesday and relatively calm conditions on Wednesday. Temperatures will increase during the period, going from the mid-80s on Tuesday into the upper 80s on Wednesday.

Mid-to-Long Range Forecast: Thursday, Friday, and Next Weekend

Currently, models are suggesting that a front coming in from the midwestern United States will weaken and stall out over the area, increasing shower and thunderstorm chances, although these chances will still be fairly small most of the weekend. Temperatures will be quite warm during this period, hanging out in the upper-80s and lower-90s.

Tropical Update

Hurricane Gert in the Atlantic Basin will continue to move northward, intensifying while turning away from the east coast of the United States. Gert may reach Category 2 status, but will have a minimal impact to land. Another disturbance may form in the coming days in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean. This disturbance would become Harvey if it reached Tropical Storm status.

Thank you for reading!

Chase Graham