Sunday Weather Discussion + Hurricane Maria

Good Sunday morning!

 It's been a beautiful weekend so far, hasn't it? Our current benign weather setup will leave for a relatively shorter discussion.

A bit of higher humidity mixed in with some diurnal heating has caused us to have some convective storms the past couple of days and this slight chance may persist for as long as we continue to have this summery heat. 

From today through Thursday expect daily highs in the upper 80's and nightly lows in the mid 60's. If this isn't your cup of tea, then you're in luck because you live in North Carolina where the weather does as it very well pleases and on Friday we are expecting a cold front to knock us back down to more seasonable temperatures. Friday on through Sunday we are expecting temperatures in the upper 70's instead during the daytime and lows in the mid 50's at night. Cue the collective "ahhh!" So far this cold frontal passage seems to be a pretty dry event, but it's fair game for that to change in the days to come.

For those who are curious to know, here's what we are seeing right now for Hurricane Maria. Currently she is a category 3 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 115 mph and is sitting a few hundred miles off of Florida's coastline very slowly moving northward. Here is the latest graphic from the NHC as of 11 pm Saturday, September 23rd.

Hurricane Maria 092417.png

There is a high pressure system that is both blocking her from making landfall just yet, but is also guiding her straight into quite possibly the Outer Banks. The aforementioned cold front is in association with a trough that will more or less scoop up Maria and push her away from land late Thursday. As it is now the uncertainty is how much Maria will impact the Outer Banks. For now it's safest to assume they will receive plenty of tropical storm strength wind, rain, flooding in the areas that are more prone, and definitely see some overwash again on Highway 12 South. For those who have sound side properties, this shouldn't be too much of a concern as Maria's eye should stay far away from the sound. The GFS seems to favor a stronger OBX impact while the Euro seems to be more conservative.  Currently the GFS is just slightly out preforming the Euro, but the Euro did preform better overall in guessing Hurricane Irma's track. As it is, we will have to wait and see.

Thank you very much for reading!

Sinead Lockhart