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Good Sunday Evening Western NC. We do continue us to monitor the possibility for a little bit of snow across the foothills Tuesday Night into Wednesday. I emphasize that currently we are forecasting a minor event. The problem is that it will only take a minor event to present travel problems as the ground will be frozen. Behind this system another shot of arctic air will take hold for Wednesday and Thursday before we finally warm back up for a while, starting at the end of the week.
Tuesday an upper level low pressure system will dive Southeast from the Upper Midwest as another trough digs back into the area. This upper low will dive into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys Tuesday Afternoon. The GFS and Canadian Model are In the most agreement with very little precipitation. Then we have the NAM and Euro on a camping trip together indicating a slightly more robust moisture coming in but still keeping precipitation totals less than a tenth of an inch. The SREF is in the middle playing ground. Models are in great disagreement in the amount of moisture present. That leads to the low confidence on the amount of precipitation. With all of that said we will hold any forecast on accumulations from this forecast package and hold until Monday. There is potential for this event to begin in the busy Wednesday Morning commute creating some travel issues there as temps are in the low 20’s Wednesday Morning, and may not rise at all through the day. It’s something worth watching and certainly not etched in stone.
Upper air pattern Wednesday Morming 1am
We will have another update Monday Morning.