Warming Trend Starts Today! Cooler Temps Await Following Possible Severe Weather

Good Tuesday Morning. Finally a break in this cool weather pattern but unfortunately it will not last.  As you get going this morning temps are starting off chilly, in the low 40's.  Mid level clouds are blocking a lot of that morning sunshine but on a positive note the sun is already breaking though some.  This cloud deck should slowly erode this morning leading to partly cloudy skies this afternoon.  High temps should get into the mid 60's today with more sun than we thought yesterday, and I am sure there are no complaints there.

The warming trend is on too.  Today is just the start.  As we move forward thorough the week temps will add another 2-5 degrees per day, topping out in the mid and upper 70's on Friday.  By Friday a sharp and stacked trough will move out of the Rockies into the Midwest.  This trough will spread a very strong cold front from the Midwest to the Mississippi River by Saturday Afternoon.  A widespread outbreak of severe weather is possible across the South.  Locally, the timing is going to be key with this system.  If this front moves in during the afternoon as models are depicting it would encounter our peak heating time.  Lift, CAPE, and sheer could all be factors in Sunday's severe weather threat.  Strong damaging winds, large hail, and even isolated tornadoes are possible.  Of course this could change with time but it is something we want to keep an very close eye on.  Additonally locally heavy rainfall could cause localized flash flooding

Behind that cold front temperatures will return to 15 -20 degrees below average to start next week. 

Chris White

Chief Meteorologist